Tesla publishes FSD safety data ahead of Oct. 6 EU vote

Tesla ↗ 4.04% published what it called its most detailed public safety dataset for Full Self-Driving (Supervised) in Europe late on Monday, five weeks before a regulatory committee vote that could extend the system's approval across all 27 EU member states. The release opens a new front in a broader fight over the technology that now spans two continents and two branches of government.

The Data and Its Limits

The dataset, titled "Article 39 – FSD (Supervised) Dashboard," underpins exemptions Tesla is seeking from UN Regulation 171, the standard governing driver-control assistance systems in Europe. Tesla's headline claim is that FSD Supervised is 4.1 times less likely to be involved in a crash than a manually driven Tesla across 100 million kilometers on EU roads.eletric-vehicles+1

But the document's measurement windows all close in 2025 — months before the European customer rollout it is now being used to justify. Mileage data covers calendar year 2025, acceleration and braking metrics run from mid-2025 through various endpoints, and the latest dated observation is December 5, 2025. The 4.1x figure itself, drawn from the post-April 2026 customer fleet, appears nowhere in the filed document.eletric-vehicles

The release also follows a pattern of declining safety multiples as the sample grows. In July, Tesla reported FSD was 5.2 times safer across 65 million kilometers. The new figure, based on 100 million kilometers, is 21 percent lower despite a 54 percent increase in mileage.zecar+1

Regulatory Headwinds

The Technical Committee on Motor Vehicles is expected to vote on EU-wide type approval on October 6, 2026. Approval requires at least 15 of 27 member states representing 65 percent of the bloc's population. The five countries that currently recognize the Dutch RDW's provisional approval — the Netherlands, Lithuania, Estonia, Denmark, and Belgium — account for roughly 8.9 percent of the EU population.fsd-eu-tracker+2

France remains the most prominent opponent. Transport Minister Philippe Tabarot said on July 22 that FSD "does not justify authorization in its current form," citing speeding behavior and gaps in driver attention monitoring during complex maneuvers. The European Transport Safety Council wrote to transport ministers in June urging them not to recognize the approval until meaningful, published real-world safety evidence exists. Reuters reported in August that Tesla had pressed the Dutch RDW since late 2024 to keep its safety-review documentation permanently confidential.reuters+3

Legal Pressure in the U.S.

The data release landed the same day Tesla faced scrutiny in a U.S. courtroom. On Monday, Tesla urged the Ninth Circuit to decertify a class of buyers who accuse the company of making false and deceptive promises about its vehicles' self-driving capabilities. Bloomberg Law reported the case appeared to divide the appeals court panel. A lower court had previously certified the class, ruling that whether Tesla vehicles were capable of full self-driving is a question that can be answered with common evidence.news.bloomberglaw+2

Tesla's filing that regulators hold and the dashboard it chose to publish are not the same document — and the gap between the two remains the central tension as the October vote approaches.