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thetimesthetimesxenetaThe cost of shipping oil from the Gulf to Asia has climbed to approximately US$15.22 per barrel — a record — as the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz enters its sixth month, transforming what began as an oil-price crisis into a broader transport-cost crisis with consequences rippling across the global economy.thetimes
With Brent crude hovering around US$89 a barrel, the headline oil price no longer captures the full economic burden facing energy-importing nations. Freight, insurance, and crude premiums are adding layers of cost that ultimately reach consumers and businesses far from the conflict zone.
The disruption has forced Asian refiners to source crude from much farther afield. US crude exports to Asia reached a record 2.35 million barrels per day in July, according to The Times, though Reuters reported that overall US exports fell to 3.66 million bpd that month — the lowest in eight months — as a short-lived June peace deal briefly reduced demand for American crude. Some Asian refiners have reportedly paid premiums exceeding US$10 a barrel to secure replacement supplies.reuters+1
Japan, which depended on the Middle East for more than 90% of its crude before the war, saw its import bill hit a record 11.3 trillion yen (approximately US$69 billion) in June, driven by soaring oil costs despite lower volumes. The customs-cleared import price reached JPY117,684 per kilolitre — the highest since records began in 1979. As much as 90% of Japanese companies reported that rising energy prices were negatively affecting their operations, according to a survey by Teikoku Databank.oilprice+2
Ship-tracking data shows commercial traffic through Hormuz remains a fraction of pre-war levels. NBC News tracking, updated August 12, shows vessel traffic "nowhere near the hundred-plus ships a day that were traversing the strait before the war". MarineTraffic data recorded as few as six confirmed crossings on a recent Sunday. A Congressional Research Service report dated August 6 confirmed that "periodic Iranian attacks against shipping and retaliatory U.S. strikes against Iran have severely disrupted traffic through the Strait for most of the past five months".congress+2
War-risk insurance premiums have risen to more than 16 times normal rates, and the global tanker fleet is being stretched by longer voyages that effectively reduce available shipping capacity even without physical losses.hormuzstraitmonitor+1
The freight crisis extends beyond petroleum. Container shipping spot rates rose 192% on Asia-US trades and 106% into North Europe compared with late February levels, according to logistics data firm Xeneta. For countries like Australia, which imports most of its refined fuel from Asian refining centres, the compounding costs of crude premiums, freight, and insurance create inflationary pressure that may not carry Iran's name on the invoice but traces directly back to the Strait.xeneta+1
The global trading system has adapted — oil has been redirected, reserves released, and supply chains restructured. But as The Times observed: "Finding another way does not mean finding another way at the same price".thetimes