recession

Oil above $100 sparks recession and stagflation fears

Brent crude surpassed $100 a barrel this week as Middle East hostilities and the ongoing war in Ukraine tighten energy supplies, prompting warnings from analysts and international institutions that sustained high prices could tip the global economy toward stagflation or…

Economists cut recession odds but raise inflation outlook

A convergence of supply shocks, geopolitical conflict, and technology-driven demand is keeping inflation elevated worldwide, frustrating hopes that price pressures would ease in the second half of 2026.

ESM warns twin shocks could tip eurozone into recession

The European Stability Mechanism on Monday published its inaugural Euro Area Stability Watch report, identifying a new Middle East conflict and a sharp repricing of US assets as the two greatest threats to the eurozone economy. If both materialize simultaneously,…